18-Feb-2011

The Collapse of the Music Industry

Does collapse necessarily mean death?

See page with updated chart.

The 8-track medium died in the early 1980s. The vinyl record died around 1990, although there are vinyl die-hards that live on along with the high-end audio aficionados (the high-end audio industry has been in serious decline for many years now). I had not particularly noticed that the cassette tape died around 2005 (I dropped the use of tapes since the introduction of the audio CD in 1983).

Now the observation is on the continuing decline of the audio CD format, possibly to extinction as with all preceding mediums. Even digital is showing decline with the legitimate question - will the music industry died altogether? I think mediums and formats die but music and the associated industry will continue. The best original music is now being written and produced for the movie industry. Classical music listened to in year 2099 on Mars will be music from early 21st century Earth.

The "industry" manifestation might be self-promoted musicians publishing their works on YouTube and earning revenue on their work without recording companies playing the role of the middleman collecting their portion of the revenue. In general, the Internet offers an unmatched level of disintermediation.


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